Sunday, May 29, 2011

How to Topple Gaddafi

Reuters

Larbi Sadiki- The battle for Libya: Up in smoke

If NATO wants to get more involved in Libya it could probably operationalise a quasi Bosnia-Kosovo strategy. Its content resonates with 'humanitarianism' by performing combat missions to protect civilians while at the same time fighting Gaddafi specifically. keep reading
Now Gaddafi firepower diminished substantially, Gaddfi knows he can not win this conflict but he can cling on power by stalemate, but this can not be so long while bombing goes on. Before the Freedom fighters effectively control over Misurata, Gaddafi thought he may can have half West-side and while the freedom fighters East, but this is effectively impossible now becase of Misurata and Most Western Mountains, and Tunisian boarders, the Freedom fighters iron-grips. These areas very strategic important to both the Rebels and Gaddfi(that is why Gaddafi fiercely fights and the Rebels try to firm on their iron grips to these areas) As we have seen what has happen Misurata, I believe that Gaddafi never foot into the Misurata. Psychology and physically Gaddafi a huge lost in the Misurata. But he can drags on this conflict by what he is doing right now, take advantage of the Nato-Allies “no boot on the ground”. Hangs around hospitals to occipital to hospitals, knowing Nato-Allies never bombs hospitals. So how to get around this? In my view, the EU foreign policy chief Ashton has suggested that EU troop are ready if ever they are needed, for humanitarian assistant to protect the civilians, so I think that way may be getting around to “boot on the ground” by adding top notch specialists troops, as the UN Resolution clearly mandated that as
“… to protect the Libyan population and reaffirming that parties to armed conflicts bear the primary responsibility to take all feasible steps to ensure the protection for civilians.”  
Also this stalemate goes on, Gaddaifi try to evoke anti-west-colonialism sentiment or anti-rebel Al Qaeda, which already he has been trying to do but so far not successful. It seems Benghazi already has been working on this area. But who knows, that is why Nato-Allies must release some of the frozen money for the humanitarian level, the economy must keep going even if very basic level. Everything is justifiable as the UN Resolution says, as the money effectively belong to the people of Libya, been this atrocity, millions of people are suffering, almost one millions people are displaced. If the money is not for the Libyan suffering, what is for? Virtually most areas the Libyan economy has no functionality, must preventive of post-Gaffafi shellshock, re-construction must start now. We know that even if some of people who worked Gaddafi regime, but Libya has no history of democracy, so The UN, Nato-Allies must provide auspices-civilian advisory group who able to work with Benghazi in these areas. Given circumstance this must start now, not waiting until Gaddafi goes. Also the building stable-strong democracy Libya, who will be ultimately reward to the world by-playing vital role- e.g. for the regions’ stability which also able to provide stable strategic economic partnership with rich oil resources, to the world economy.

Also Nato-Allies has pressure from their home ground to think of, because of their high unemployment while cost fortune on the Libyan conflict, that is why this conflict must not drag on so also by releasing some of the seized money also unburden their cost of commitment of this conflict.

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Here Reuters from Western Mountains
...
The western front of the Libyan war amounts to a chain of towns running more than 200 km (125 miles) from the Tunisian border across the bleak mountain plateau to Zintan, some 150 km (93 miles) southwest of the Libyan capital.

Gaddafi's forces hold the desert plains and, at their closest point, are level with Zintan in Ryayna, some 10-15 km (6-9 miles) from the town center.
With their planes grounded by NATO, forces loyal to Gaddafi are struggling to retake the high ground from the rebels. But the rebels' isolation, and their limited means to resupply through the Tunisian border, will work against them the longer the conflict drags on.
Bothe the Revolutionary and Gaddafi strategic importance of the western mountains, The Rebel must not lose this western front becase to this front, prevention of - along with the Misrata- divide into two Libya, Gaddafi want to the division so that he thinks he can cling on  the west, that is why the Rebel must not lost this  western front to give Gaddafi false hope.